kerrville breaking news forum

And unfortunately, accuracy is often not the goal of the survey at all. When this happens, it's usually because the owner only shared it with a small group of people, changed who can see it or it's been deleted. Visit this page to learn about the business and what locals in Kerrville have to say. KERRVILLE – The Kerrville Police Department is seeking the public’s assistance in identifying two suspects after a series of recent catalytic converter thefts. In addition, Highway 16 South (Medina Hwy) is now closed at Camp Meeting Creek. But what value do they provide? But until such time as accurate polls are readily available, we should all be careful to look at these online polls with a grain of salt. But the accuracy of a poll depends on how it’s conducted. Public group. We have covered the Animal Shelter issue extensively on Kerrville United and our readers have suggested several different options for the Commissioners Court to consider regarding the hours and days of operations. The Kerrville Police Department said Michelle Irene Leija, 41, and Mario Lee Clark, 40, were arrested... A joint cooperation effort between the Bandera County Sheriff’s Office, Kerrville Police Department and Kerr County Sheriff’s office resulted in the arrest of a suspect wanted in the shooting death of a 22-year-old Bandera man early Monday morning. This poll is conducted using a scientific sample of 1,800 randomly-selected households and the responses are weighted to represent community demographics. Get a weekly update on the latest Kerr County sports news… Community leaders can and should rely on valid polling to gauge the community’s sentiment about certain issues. Science is hesitant to state that the results of any one experiment are absolute truth, and the margin of error and confidence interval figures are how they relate that uncertainty. 7 144 en parlent. We might want to limit our population of interest to just eligible voters. Voodoo polling is the pejorative term for polls that have no scientific basis, such as most online polls. Contributors to (and readers of) Kerrville United are often news junkies and politics enthusiasts, and many of us would be thrilled to have scientifically credible polling for certain issues affecting our community. They had in... KERRVILLE, Texas- Police are investigating three suspects after officers found equipment used to make counterfeit money inside two motel rooms. Myron, however, has been a firefighter with the City of Kerrville for 13 years. There are several potential consequences when users rely on inaccurate polling numbers. An ethics advisor for the Society of Professional Journalists, Andrew Seaman, says, “My advice would be to avoid opt-in polls that provide little value to the public… Otherwise, the news organizations run the risk of being irresponsible and possibly harmful.”. Other scientists then critically examine the results to determine whether or not the polling is scientifically rigorous and useful. Most of us would say yes. News and Current Events Congratulations to Kerrville Fire Department’s newest Driver, Myron Fiedler! However as of 2018, he and his wife Dana and their 3-year-old son Chance reside in Boerne, Texas. One suspect is a male who has hair that appears shaved or very short on the sides, police said. Second, not all persons over 18 are legally able to vote for various reasons, so we wouldn’t want them in our population of interest. KERRVILLE Texas- Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha is asking people in the area to not get on the roads as a winter weather system is moving through. You can also view this channel 24 hours a day on Spectrum Channel 2. ", Kerrville Fire Department Chief Eric Maloney has issued the following message, urging citizens to remain inside their homes to avoid slipping on the ice and becoming injured. Why do they matter? Basketball. KERR COUNTY - Four people have been arrested in Kerr County in what the sheriff's office says is the largest drug bust in Kerr County history. When this happens, it's usually because the owner only shared it with a small group of people, changed who can see it or it's been deleted. The National Fire Protection Association’s campaign to... Eddie DeWaye Clemmons, DeRidder, LA, was arrested during a Wednesday evening traffic stop in Kirbyville, TX. Texas Department of Public Safety Sergeant Stephanie Davis said that about 6:30 p.m. on Highway 96 in front of the Kirbyville Livestock Auction Barn, Trooper Kevin Brewster stopped a rental car out of Florida. NE winds at 15 to 25 mph, decreasing to less than 5 mph. The teacher began working for Kerrville ISD... Kerr County Sheriff Larry Leitha announced the conclusion of a week-long narcotics operation that resulted in what is believed to be one of the largest drug busts in Kerr County history, the arrest of four suspects and the seizure of large amounts of drugs, firearms and $30,213 in cash during two separate operations executed on Feb. 4. Scores/Schedule Roster Statistics Rivals100 Team Rankings Commitment List Offer List Football Recruiting Database 2022 LSR Top 100 2021 LSR Top 100 Historical Recruiting Data. Hill Country Breaking News team is dedicated to collecting and compiling the best information and resources for users worldwide. "Stay home and stay safe. Online polls, such as those conducted by the Kerrville Daily Times and Kerrville Breaking News Forum, have a few critical flaws that make them inherently inaccurate and problematic: Frank Newport, the editor in chief at Gallup, an organization that performs scientific polling, warned that most reader-response surveys on news sites are more for the benefit of the news agency than for the benefit of the public, increasing views and clicks on the agency’s website. There is one notable exception. “My advice would be to avoid opt-in polls that provide little value to the public… Otherwise, the news organizations run the risk of being irresponsible and possibly harmful.”. Football . So let’s plug those numbers into an online service that estimates what size sample you need to get reasonably accurate results. A mix of clouds and sun. please let us know. ‎ Brandy McCoy ‎ to Kerrville Breaking News Forum. Hill Country Sports . Kerrville News. Kerrville, TX (78028) Today. According to Kerrville Fire Marshal Jason Lackey, KFD received the call at 4:09 p.m. on Jan. 20 and the first units arrived six minutes later. The results of the poll are published with heaps of additional data, assumptions, and other information that helps the end user understand the methodology, the results, and the limitations of the poll. High 71F. Members will be removed from group if they continue to advertise. In short, it’s perhaps the only statistically reliable poll conducted in Kerrville at this time. December 1, 2020. Programming includes LIVE Coverage of government meetings and a variety of City content. We have referenced them in previous articles. The victim told police that two people came into the store and made a purchase with counterfeit money. Every day, news organizations, universities, blogs, random websites, and research institutes around the world launch countless opinion polls on everything from the brands of clothes you prefer to the job approval rating of the President to which contestant should win Dancing with the Stars. Most of our readers seem to think that the shelter should open on Saturdays, and have suggested closing on another weekday to offset the staffing hours. "Since the beginning of this unprecedented winter storm, the Kerrville Fire Department has responded to a high number of slips and falls. KERRVILLE – The Kerrville Police Department is seeking the public’s assistance in identifying two suspects after a series of recent catalytic converter thefts. DAPHNI RIVERA/Daphni M. Rivera PhotographyFloresville’s Peyton Pavliska (56) blocks the Tivy lineman for his quarterback. The entire population of Kerrville is around 25,000. Find local weather forecasts for Kerrville, United States throughout the world TCVFD Chief Wes Gordon reported a total... A Kerrville Police Department officer was injured when his vehicle was involved in a head-on accident reportedly caused by an intoxicated driver Saturday evening at approximately 10 p.m. As we mentioned above, online polls have problems: self-selected, not representative of the entire population, and easy to cheat/game. This is not a place to advertise your business. According to KPD Public Information Officer Jonathan Lamb, "Suspect 1" is a black male, who has short cut hair... SAN ANTONIO – Three people have been accused of manufacturing up to $20,000 in counterfeit cash and using it throughout San Antonio, Boerne and Kerrville over the course of several months, according to police. Higher wind gusts possible.. Help everyone stay informed in current events and special functions that just happened or is upcoming. Since Thursday they have had over 40 crashes in Kerr County. We are surrounded with polling data. All first responders are stretched thin right now. Floresville fell short in a nail-biter, 14-10. Coronavirus Tracker: More than 1,000 additional coronavirus cases reported for Bexar Co. Online polling is inherently inaccurate, and in some cases, dangerous. This is the place to post anything about what is going on in the Kerrville area. According to Kerrville Fire Marshal Jason Lackey, KFD received the call at 4:09 p.m. on Jan. 20 and the first units arrived six minutes later. The Kerrville Fire Department wants to remind the public to be aware of the risk when using supplemental heat sources during these cold, winter nights. The Kerrville Police Department responded to several reported thefts and attempted thefts of catalytic converters between Jan. 3-18 from assorted locations inside the city limits, including commercial parking lots and private driveways. Some simple safety tips can reduce the risk to keep your family safe and warm during the winter. National polls are a highly controversial subject, but news organizations rely on them almost every day to report on public opinion, economic indicators, and other matters of public concern. Phillip Noah Jimenez, 20, and Luis Gallegos, 28, were taken into custody at the Mini Mart on Ranchero Road in Kerrville. Do local business owners recommend Texas Breaking News? The Kerrville Police Department has been providing regular reports throughout the day on road conditions and urging citizens to remain at home and not on Kerr County roads. Online polls do not measure a representative sample of the population. But in the last city council election, only about 3,000 people cast a ballot — about 20% of the 15,000 that are registered to vote. But if a newspaper or online poll is inaccurate, what is the harm? This type of poll does not provide valuable information because the choices are ambiguous and confusing. Kerr County has a much larger population than Kerrville, of course, with nearly 50,000 residents and approximately 35,000 registered voters. What's new. Mysterious Ring, a Magical Ring of Stones' - Stonehenge II, Ingram, TX - I caught this beautiful local landmark the other night under the chill of a beautiful Autumn moon. We can identify the 3,000 most likely voters by reviewing voter roll data from previous elections. It may very well be true that the majority of county residents disapproved of the Court, but this poll cannot tell us that definitively given such a small sample size and due to the other problems inherent in online polls. If you have an interesting idea or news article that you would like to see published on Hill Country Breaking News, please use the format listed below and email your submission or idea to: news@hillcountrybreakingnews.com News […] Statisticians rely on complicated mathematical formulas and research to determine how many people must be polled, what types of people should be polled, and how the questions should be posed to generate quality results. Kerrville United's mission is to move Kerrville and Kerr County in a positive direction by providing information, educating voters, and influencing policy. KPD Public Information Officer Jonathan Lamb the case began with a call on Jan. 27 at... Kerrville ISD was notified on January 23, 2021 that Aaron Chatagnier, a former Tivy High School teacher, was indicted by the 216th District Grand Jury and formally charged with two counts of improper relationship with a student and two counts of sexual assault. Winds SSW at 10 to 15 mph.. Rick DeSilva Jr. of Liberty Subaru in Emerson, N.J., was named the Time 2021 Dealer of the Year by Time and Ally Financial on Tuesday at the NADA Show. Kerrville Fire Department firefighters battled a massive structure fire for hours at a home located in the 2100 block of Arcadia Loop Wednesday night, Jan. 20. This is the place to post anything about what is going on in the Kerrville area. The November 3 KDT poll asking about the job performance of Commissioners Court only garnered 95 responses, but the results were touted on the editorial page the following weekend as evidence that the residents disapproved of the county’s actions. We can reasonably predict that if we do this right, we can be within five percentage points of the actual opinions of the entire population we are studying. Greenville, TX Local News, Information Articles, Stories & Announcements. Many of the online polls we looked at suffered from this very low response rate. The broad results of this poll can be found on the City of Kerrville’s website. On a smaller scale, local news organizations incorporate their non-scientific online surveys into editorials and newspaper articles, giving them weight and significance when no scientific rigor has gone into their design or implementation. San Angelo LIVE! Without getting above our pay grade, let’s discuss some of the science behind these more rigorous polling projects. So even with our carefully designed poll, we may not get perfectly accurate results. Are online polls interesting and entertaining? Let’s compare our hypothetical poll with the sample size of a recent Kerrville Daily Times poll. Help everyone stay informed in current events and special functions that just happened or is upcoming. Because these polls drive traffic and revenue to these sites, they are not likely to disappear anytime soon. One suspect is a male who has hair that appears shaved or very short on the sides, police said. Latest Greenville, TX News: More than 5,100 in county receive first COVID-19 vaccine doses | News Break Tiger Dean Foster (22) goes high to catch the only Tiger touchdown against Kerrville Tivy during the junior varsity game Nov. 5. The vehicles targeted range from box and panel trucks such as those used for deliveries, to pickups and... Kerrville Fire Department firefighters battled a massive structure fire for hours at a home located in the 2100 block of Arcadia Loop Wednesday night, Jan. 20. Inside The 40 Acres Community Guidelines The Main Board New posts Search forums. But the polls are only dangerous if institutions and the public at large take them seriously. The City of Kerrville has participated in the National Community Survey program since 2016. Myron Fiedler. Portion of I-35 shut down in New Braunfels after multi-vehicle crash. The Kerrville Police Department is seeking the public's assistance in identifying suspects in the series of recent catalytic convertor thefts and have provided photo images of the suspects to the media. When this happens, it's usually because the owner only shared it with a small group of people, changed who can see it or it's been deleted. Welcome to the Kerrville City Channel. In one poll that’s currently online at the Kerrville Daily Times, readers are presented with the following survey: Here is the problem… These choices are not mutually exclusive. But even with a pretty large sample size of randomly chosen individuals, our poll is susceptible to errors such as bad randomization, biased questions, and other problems. Receive alerts from The Kerrville Daily Times newsroom anytime there is a breaking news event. 2021-01-05 Kerrville, TX Daily News ‘A mask is your ticket’: Kerrville Renaissance Festival returns in January. If you choose to ignore these warnings, you are placing others at risk. But as informed citizens, we must recognize the limitations and shortcomings in these polls, and shouldn’t rely solely on them to make judgments or decisions about the issues that face our community. Should we place any weight on these opinion polls? And these days it’s not easy to reach folks by phone, so it makes accurate polling even more difficult. Myron Fiedler was born and raised in Fredericksburg, Texas. View the latest weather forecasts, maps, news and alerts on Yahoo Weather. These falls are occurring within 20 feet of a home's front door and are caused by walking on hidden ice.". Scores/Schedule Roster Statistics Rivals150 Commitment List … Kerrville, TX (78028) Today. Kerrville Police Department officers were able to stop a counterfeit operation that spanned three counties and ultimately were able to take two suspects into custody, while charges are being filed against a third suspect. A coordinated effort led by Turtle Creek Volunteer Fire Department spared nearby residences and structures while a brush fire, fueled by high winds and dry conditions, scorched 200 acres of land in the 100 and 400 blocks of Fall Creek Road Thursday afternoon. He was wearing a black long-sleeved sweatshirt with a light-colored logo on the front and a small logo on the left sleeve, police said. Anyone can participate, regardless of where they live or who they are. Below is a real-time stream of our local government programming. Low 33F. We’ll use Kerrville as an example. The polls have become a mainstay on the Kerrville Daily Times website and the results are often featured in weekend editorials. What makes a poll scientific? This content isn't available right now. However, the Times is asking readers to make a singular choice among these options, when in fact, a reader may think several of these options actually achieve the same thing. Right now, Sheriff Leitha said this is an all hands on deck situation for him and his deputies as they are all on standby. Online polls, such as those conducted by the Kerrville Daily Times and Kerrville Breaking News Forum, have a few critical flaws that make them inherently inaccurate and problematic: Online polls are not random. So our poll would be more valuable if we only asked likely voters how they felt, rather than asking every single person in Kerrville, regardless of their voting eligibility or their likelihood of casting a ballot. Clear skies. But are they valuable? "Officers continue to respond to multiple accidents and stranded drivers as people continue to drive in town," the post read. After this, the suspects reportedly walked across the street to a Motel 6. Non-random sampling is problematic. Kerrville, TX Daily News. He was wearing a black long-sleeved sweatshirt with a light-colored logo on the front and a small logo on the left sleeve, police said. When major news sources rely on unscientific surveys to represent the opinions of an entire community, our community suffers. In recent months we’ve seen online polls purporting to measure the approval rating for City Council and Commissioners Court, the popularity of various candidates running for Kerr County Sheriff, opinions on the Animal Shelter, opinions on climate change, a survey of Kerrville’s greatest needs, and approval rating of the Kerrville 2050 plan. Officers with the Kerrville Police Department were called out to McCoy's Building Supplies on Sidney Baker Street on January 27 at around 5:57 p.m. ‎ Brandy McCoy ‎ to Kerrville Breaking News Forum. But if we were polling to find out which candidate is favored in a city council election, we wouldn’t care as much about the entire population of Kerrville. And this website has not been totally immune from the attraction of online polls. December 1, 2020. Residents under 18 cannot vote, so we’d want to exclude those folks. I think we must admit that they’re not. Online polls have become ubiquitous across various websites, news sites, and forums, including on the Kerrville Daily Times, Kerrville Breaking News Forum on Facebook, and other local websites. Receive alerts from The Kerrville Daily Times newsroom anytime there is a breaking news event. With fewer than 50 days before the Nov. 3 election, the first candidate forum for the Kerrville City Council took place Thursday — and there were notable absences at the Hill Country Sports. The Kerrville Police Department is urging residents to stay off the roadways, due to icy road conditions. 5,471 members. On September 29, the newspaper asked readers, “What’s your opinion of the Kerrville 2050 plan?” According to the results, 109 people submitted a response. When professional researchers launch an opinion poll that they wish to be statistically accurate and reflective of the opinions of an entire population of interest, the scientists go through a rigorous design process based on complicated mathematical formulas to ensure that their sample is representative and random. If we assume our population of interest (likely city voters) is about 3,000, and we can live with a 5% margin of error (plus or minus 5% on the final results), and we needed a confidence level of 95% (a high degree of certainty), we would need at least 341 respondents, chosen randomly, out of our population of 3,000 likely voters. is a place for all things News, Events, and Opinion. If you have any issues with this stream for more than 5 minutes at a time. So even if the respondents were randomly selected across the population and adjusted for proper demographics, we’d only have about 1/3 of the number of respondents we’d need to get the opinions of likely voters. Andrew Seaman, Society of Professional Journalists, https://dailytimes.com/promotions/poll_86c39036-0f94-11ea-ab7a-2faeb224319b.html, Online polls are everywhere: here’s why we should be wary before trusting them, Why Online Voting Is a Danger to Democracy, Why You Shouldn’t Trust ‘Polls’ Conducted Online, P&Z to consider Vintage Heights: a 510-lot housing development, Vintage Heights stalls at P&Z; appeals to council for zoning change, Local election season begins on January 4, Big turnout decides local races in Kerrville and Kerr County, Court acknowledges error; pro-life resolution passes. This content isn't available right now. Unfortunately, due to the expense of conducting statistically accurate polls in a community our size, very little useful polling is available. But what do these polls actually tell us? New posts Latest activity. Investigations Continue in the Deaths of Two Texas Soldiers . What is a population, sample size, margin of error, etc.?

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